Nigeria’s non-oil exporters are confident, ambitious — and constrained. The 2026 Index reveals soaring Business Confidence (87.8) and an even stronger Predictive Outlook (92.8), with 83% planning capacity expansion. Demand is not the problem. Execution is.
Logistics collapses at a critical 12.8, as 77.7% report rising transport and port costs — the single biggest threat to competitiveness. Finance (52.7) and regulation (54.8) remain fragile and stagnant. Energy costs rank as the #1 barrier to scale (51.1%), while quality gaps persist.
The headline truth: Nigeria’s exporters are market-ready and growth-focused, but high operating costs and weak trade systems are choking scalable expansion.
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